Market Analog Engine · Live

Navigate markets by understanding
where you actually are.

"History doesn't repeat itself — but it often rhymes."

Most tools add noise. ORION cuts through it — by finding the historical moments that match today's price pattern and macro backdrop, and showing you exactly what happened next.

Start searching history →

Free · SPY, QQQ, BTC included · No credit card

How it works

Search 30 years of market history.
In seconds.

ORION doesn't predict. It finds historical context — the periods that most closely match today — so you can see the distribution of what happened next, rather than acting on gut feel or noise.

01 — PATTERN
Price shape match
DTW algorithm searches 30+ years of price history for windows whose shape most closely resembles today's chart — normalized so any starting price level can match.
02 — REGIME
12-signal macro fingerprint
12 cross-asset signals — credit spreads, VIX, yield curve, dollar, oil, RSI, small vs large, EM vs DM — ensure the macro backdrop genuinely matches, not just the chart shape.
03 — ANALOGS
Top historical matches surface
The closest historical moments appear — with forward return distributions, drawdown profiles, event annotations, and the statistical edge vs. unconditional history.
04 — CONTEXT
Not a prediction. A distribution.
Win rate, average return, edge vs baseline, median max drawdown. See the full range of outcomes — and how many of those situations went the way you're thinking.
05 — ALERTS
Get notified when history rhymes
Set an alert on any ticker. When ORION detects a new high-confidence analog, you'll get an email with the match date, score, and 20-day forward return — linking directly to the analysis.

What you see

Ten layers.
One complete picture.

Three interactive views for price and outcomes. Four analytical layers for context and confidence. Three intelligence features for edge.

The three views

◈
Pattern Overlay
All analog paths overlaid on the current chart — normalized to converge at today. Forward projections fan out as dashed lines. Weighted consensus band shows the median + interquartile range.
CHART
⊞
Historical View
Full price chart with every analog window highlighted — correctly placed at the end of each matched window, so you see exactly where in history the pattern resolved.
FRACTAL OVERLAY
≡
Outcome Table
Full forward return data for every analog — 5d through 1Y, win rate, max drawdown — vs the unconditional historical average. Edge score shows how much these setups outperformed random history.
STATISTICS

Four analytical layers

⬡
Macro Radar
Radar chart comparing current macro regime vs each analog's conditions at time of match. 7 core dimensions — see at a glance whether the macro backdrop genuinely aligns.
CROSS-ASSET
△
Dual Match Score
Every analog gets a price similarity score and a macro similarity score. Not just "this chart looked similar" — but "the whole market environment was comparable."
SCORING
◐
Edge & Sample Size
Edge is displayed explicitly — how much better did these setups perform vs. random history? When the sample is small, a low-confidence indicator appears automatically.
STATISTICS
⚙
Search Controls
Choose how many analogs to show (1–10), filter to a specific era, set your date format, and toggle individual macro signals. The search reruns instantly.
CUSTOMISE

Three intelligence features

⚡
Pattern Alerts
Set an alert on any ticker. ORION checks daily. When a new high-scoring analog is detected, you receive an email — linking directly to the live analysis.
ALERTS
⚡
Event Annotations
Each analog's forward window is automatically tagged with market events — FOMC, CPI, crashes. Filter by Catalyst or No Event to isolate what you care about.
EVENTS
◈
VIX & Skew Context
For each analog, ORION shows the VIX level and term structure at time of match — compare historical implied vol conditions to the current options environment.
VOL CONTEXT

"Most traders drown in information but starve for context. ORION is the context engine — cut through the noise, navigate with history."

ORION · Design philosophy

Cross-asset regime layer

12 signals.
The ones that actually matter.

Price alone misleads. Two periods can look identical on a chart but resolve completely differently when the macro backdrop diverges. ORION's regime layer captures the full market environment — 12 signals, each as a percentile rank vs 3-year history.

Gold / Copper
Risk appetite ratio. Copper = industrial optimism. Gold = fear. Ratio tells you which is winning.
USD Strength
Dollar direction via UUP ETF — reliable daily data. Changes everything for commodities, EM, and risk assets.
10yr Yield
Treasury yield level as a regime signal. High = restrictive conditions. Low = accommodative, supports multiples.
Credit Spreads
HYG spread. When credit stresses, equity patterns resolve differently. An early warning layer.
VIX
Implied volatility as a fear gauge. Elevated = hedging demand up. Low = complacency.
2s10s Yield Curve
Curve slope as a cycle signal. Steep = growth expectations. Inverted = late cycle caution.
TLT / SPY Ratio
Bonds vs equities rotation. Rising = flight to safety. Falling = risk-on conviction.
Growth / Value
IWF/IWD relative performance. Regime signal for factor rotation and duration sensitivity.
SPY RSI (14) NEW
14-day momentum context. Overbought vs oversold — useful for timing analog setups.
Small vs Large NEW
IWM/SPY ratio. Small caps leading = broad risk appetite. Large caps dominating = narrowing breadth.
EM vs DM NEW
EEM/SPY ratio. EM outperforming = global risk-on. DM leading = defensive positioning.
Oil Price NEW
USO ETF. Elevated = energy/inflation pressure. Depressed = demand concern or supply surplus.

All 12 signals are toggleable — show only the ones relevant to your analysis.

Positioning

Not a backtest tool.
Not a signal generator.

ORION answers a different question. "What does this setup historically resolve to?" — not "does my rule have edge?" Context before conviction.

ORIONBloomberg TerminalTradingView
Situational context — what does now look like historically?✓ Core feature✓ At $25k/yr✗
Cross-asset macro regime matching (12 signals)✓ Built-in~ Manual✗
Historical fractal overlay chart✓~✗
Edge vs baseline + sample confidence indicator✓ Explicit~ Manual✗
Pattern alerts — email when history rhymes✓✗✗
Event annotations on analog windows✓~ Manual✗
Strategy rule backtesting✗ Not our job✓~
Accessible to discretionary traders✓✗ $25k/yr✓
PriceFree · Pro $19/mo~$25,000/yrFree / $15/mo

On the roadmap

More ways to navigate with history.

⇄
Cross-Ticker Analog Search
Find moments when a different ticker's history matches your current setup. "SPY today looks like QQQ in [year]" — search across assets, not just through time.
COMING SOON
⟳
Timeline Compression Analysis
Find patterns that match not just in the same timeframe, but when the same waveform played out slower or faster — structural similarities across different time scales.
COMING SOON
⊕
Portfolio Regime Fingerprint
Analyse a whole portfolio, not just one ticker. See how your current allocation has historically performed in environments that match today's macro regime.
COMING SOON

Stop guessing where you are.
Search for it.

Free to start. SPY, QQQ, and BTC included. Pro unlocks the full ticker universe, unlimited searches, and pattern alerts.

Start searching history →

No credit card. No setup. Works in your browser.